As you may have heard, the Mets have severed ties with WFAN, the station that has carried the team's games since its birth on the radio in 1987. Now, after a month of speculation, it appears the Mets' radio home for 2014 and beyond will be WOR (710 on your AM dial).
According to the Daily News' Bob Raissman, Clear Channel Media (which owns WOR) will select the broadcasters for Mets games, but Howie Rose is slated to return to do play-by-play. Broadcast partner Josh Lewin is likely to return on a short contract, while Ed Coleman's fate is unclear.
I'm upset that the Mets will be leaving WFAN after calling the station home for over a quarter century. When I was in high school, I would hide a Walkman under my pillow with the dial set to 660 so I could listen to West Coast games as my parents were fooled into thinking that I was sleeping. Setting the dial to 710 while I try to do the same to my wife next season will just not be the same. Never mind that my wife would be approximately six inches away from me and my Walkman. And also never mind that I still use a Walkman.
There will be a WOR inside our heads next year. And if everything goes as I would like, the same outstanding broadcast team from 2013 will return to appease the fans in 2014, even if they're not doing that appeasing on the FAN.
Friday, October 18, 2013
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Can Rafael Montero Make The Opening Day Roster?
Everywhere you look, there's an article or blog post about who the Mets should add for the 2014 season. If it's not "is Shin-Soo Choo coming here?", then it's "hey, let's bring back Beltran!" or "give Johan a one-year deal to replace Harvey". I think I even heard a "can you open a 16 Handles at Citi Field next year?" from a member of the congregation. Or maybe that was just Joey Beartran.
So many people. So many requests. But maybe the Mets could add one of their own to help the team from Day 1 next year. Tell me, my friends. Do you think Rafael Montero is ready for the big leagues?
Rafael Montero hasn't received the fanfare that Matt Harvey or Zack Wheeler earned, nor is he spoken about as much as fellow pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard is. But all Montero has done is dominate each minor league level since he joined the organization in 2011.
In his first professional season, Montero was 5-4 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Opposing batters hit only .208 against him and reached base at a .257 clip. Montero struck out 66 batters and walked just 13.
Montero split the 2012 campaign between Savannah and St. Lucie, going 11-5 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The right-hander made 20 starts and allowed two earned runs or less in all but four of them. Montero was even more stingy when it came to allowing base runners in his second professional season, as hitters posted a .246 on-base percentage against him. That's what happens when you walk less than one batter per start (19 BB in 20 starts).
In 2013, Montero dominated AA-Binghamton (7-3, 2.43 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 72 K, 10 BB in 11 starts) before receiving a real test by being promoted to Triple-A and the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Montero's ERA and WHIP went up to 3.05 and 1.24, respectively, but in a league where a 6-5 final score is considered a pitchers' duel, that ERA and WHIP were among the best in the league. For all pitchers who made at least 15 starts (Montero started 16 games for Las Vegas), Montero had the third-lowest ERA and tenth-lowest WHIP. He also finished seventh in strikeout-to-walk ratio. And no one who made as many starts as Montero did allowed fewer than the four home runs he gave up.
So for all you kids at home, in three years of minor league ball, Montero has a 2.51 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 326 strikeouts and only 67 walks. Montero has allowed only 16 home runs in 348.1 innings and has held opposing hitters to a .220 batting average and .261 on-base percentage. In layman's terms, he keeps the ball in the park and he doesn't walk anyone. That's mighty impressive for a pitcher who won't turn 23 until this coming Thursday.
For those who say Montero doesn't have enough seasoning at the Triple-A level, consider this. Matt Harvey made 20 starts at AAA-Buffalo in 2012 before the Mets came a-callin'. By 2013, he was the starting pitcher in the All-Star Game. Zack Wheeler didn't even need as much time at Triple-A, making just 13 starts for Las Vegas before he got his first taste of the big leagues this past June.
Neither Harvey (3.48 ERA, 1.29 WHIP) nor Wheeler (3.56 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) dominated minor league hitters the way Montero has. Harvey and Wheeler needed a total of 33 starts at the Triple-A level to be deemed ready to take on big league hitters, or an average of just over 16 starts per pitcher. That's exactly the number of starts Rafael Montero has had in Triple-A, and he fared better than both Harvey and Wheeler did despite pitching in a hitter-friendly league.
I can understand signing a veteran starter or two to compete for the spots in the rotation behind Wheeler, Jonathon Niese and Dillon Gee. But if Rafael Montero pitches solidly in spring training, why should the Mets send him back to Las Vegas?
Veteran pitchers can always be helpful. But in the case of Rafael Montero, they should just be there to help him learn how to pitch in the big leagues, not to take the spot he deserves in the starting rotation. There's certainly nothing left for Montero to learn at the minor league level.
A strong spring should give Montero a trip to Citi Field come March 31st. That's who the Mets should add for the 2014 season. After 16 Handles, of course.
So many people. So many requests. But maybe the Mets could add one of their own to help the team from Day 1 next year. Tell me, my friends. Do you think Rafael Montero is ready for the big leagues?
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| Rafael Montero should get used to the mound at Citi Field. He'll be on it in 2014. |
Rafael Montero hasn't received the fanfare that Matt Harvey or Zack Wheeler earned, nor is he spoken about as much as fellow pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard is. But all Montero has done is dominate each minor league level since he joined the organization in 2011.
In his first professional season, Montero was 5-4 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Opposing batters hit only .208 against him and reached base at a .257 clip. Montero struck out 66 batters and walked just 13.
Montero split the 2012 campaign between Savannah and St. Lucie, going 11-5 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The right-hander made 20 starts and allowed two earned runs or less in all but four of them. Montero was even more stingy when it came to allowing base runners in his second professional season, as hitters posted a .246 on-base percentage against him. That's what happens when you walk less than one batter per start (19 BB in 20 starts).
In 2013, Montero dominated AA-Binghamton (7-3, 2.43 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 72 K, 10 BB in 11 starts) before receiving a real test by being promoted to Triple-A and the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Montero's ERA and WHIP went up to 3.05 and 1.24, respectively, but in a league where a 6-5 final score is considered a pitchers' duel, that ERA and WHIP were among the best in the league. For all pitchers who made at least 15 starts (Montero started 16 games for Las Vegas), Montero had the third-lowest ERA and tenth-lowest WHIP. He also finished seventh in strikeout-to-walk ratio. And no one who made as many starts as Montero did allowed fewer than the four home runs he gave up.
So for all you kids at home, in three years of minor league ball, Montero has a 2.51 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 326 strikeouts and only 67 walks. Montero has allowed only 16 home runs in 348.1 innings and has held opposing hitters to a .220 batting average and .261 on-base percentage. In layman's terms, he keeps the ball in the park and he doesn't walk anyone. That's mighty impressive for a pitcher who won't turn 23 until this coming Thursday.
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| Ready for the World - Oh, Rafael! |
For those who say Montero doesn't have enough seasoning at the Triple-A level, consider this. Matt Harvey made 20 starts at AAA-Buffalo in 2012 before the Mets came a-callin'. By 2013, he was the starting pitcher in the All-Star Game. Zack Wheeler didn't even need as much time at Triple-A, making just 13 starts for Las Vegas before he got his first taste of the big leagues this past June.
Neither Harvey (3.48 ERA, 1.29 WHIP) nor Wheeler (3.56 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) dominated minor league hitters the way Montero has. Harvey and Wheeler needed a total of 33 starts at the Triple-A level to be deemed ready to take on big league hitters, or an average of just over 16 starts per pitcher. That's exactly the number of starts Rafael Montero has had in Triple-A, and he fared better than both Harvey and Wheeler did despite pitching in a hitter-friendly league.
I can understand signing a veteran starter or two to compete for the spots in the rotation behind Wheeler, Jonathon Niese and Dillon Gee. But if Rafael Montero pitches solidly in spring training, why should the Mets send him back to Las Vegas?
Veteran pitchers can always be helpful. But in the case of Rafael Montero, they should just be there to help him learn how to pitch in the big leagues, not to take the spot he deserves in the starting rotation. There's certainly nothing left for Montero to learn at the minor league level.
A strong spring should give Montero a trip to Citi Field come March 31st. That's who the Mets should add for the 2014 season. After 16 Handles, of course.
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Death. Taxes. Beltran.
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| Go crazy, folks! Go crazy! |
Some people live for the big game. Joe Montana saved his best efforts for the many NFC Championship Games and Super Bowls he won. Michael Jordan was excellent at sinking clutch shots and the spirits of opposing teams in his six NBA Finals victories. (I'm a Utah Jazz fan. I should know.) And then there's one Carlos Ivan Beltran.
Carlos Beltran has never been a player who has sought the spotlight. But come October, the spotlight has always found him. And how could it not? After all, he may just be the best postseason baseball player in history.
On Friday night (and early Saturday morning), Beltran provided all the offense for the Cardinals and prevented the Dodgers from producing some offense of their own. In the third inning, Beltran doubled above the outstretched glove of Andre Ethier to plate the tying runs. The game was still tied when Mark Ellis hit a one-out triple for the Dodgers in the tenth inning. But Carlos Beltran caught Michael Young's shallow fly ball and fired a perfect throw to catcher Yadier Molina to nail Ellis at the plate. Beltran kept the game tied in the 10th. He untied it in the 13th.
With two men on and one out, Beltran line a Kenley Jansen offering down the right field line to score the winning run for the Cardinals - a hit that would have scored both base runners had the first run not ended the game.
That's not the first time Beltran has driven in every run his team scored in a postseason game. It's actually the fourth time, and the second time he's done it in a victory. Beltran's two-run homer in Game 1 of the 2006 NLCS gave the Mets all the runs they would need in a 2-0 win over the Cardinals. (Without it, the Mets might never have made it to a Game 7.) Beltran also drove in the only run scored by St. Louis in Game 4 of the 2012 NLDS , a 2-1 loss to Washington. In addition, Beltran homered and drove in all three runs for the Cards in their 5-3 defeat against Pittsburgh in Game 3 of this year's division series.
Hey, someone's got to pick up the slack when his teammates aren't doing their part. And who better to do that than Carlos Beltran?
Let's look at Beltran's career numbers in the postseason, or rather, let's marvel at them.
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| Three is a magic number. Yes, it is. It's a magic number. |
Beltran turned in a postseason performance for the ages with the Astros in 2004, batting .435 with 11 extra-base hits (eight homers, three doubles), 14 RBI, 21 runs scored and six stolen bases in 12 games. He reached base a whopping 30 times in those dozen contests and recorded a 1.557 OPS - a number that looks like a typo if we weren't talking about Carlos Beltran.
In 2006, Beltran continued to rake the ball in the postseason. Beltran was held without a hit in his first two playoff games with the Mets, but still reached base four times in the dual victories over the Dodgers. After his two oh-fers, Beltran batted .323 over the Mets' next eight playoff games, collecting three homers and five RBI. He also continued to score better than one run per game, as he crossed the plate nine times in those eight games. And once again, his OPS remained at an otherworldly level, as Beltran registered an on-base-plus-slugging percentage of 1.062 in those final eight games.
After a five-year playoff absence (which surely made opposing pitchers quite happy), Beltran returned to the playoffs in 2012 as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. What did he do in 12 postseason games with the Redbirds? He absolutely raked it. Beltran batted .357 with nine extra-base hits (six doubles, three homers), six RBI and eight runs scored. He also reached base 22 times in the 12 games and had a 1.154 OPS. And lest ye forget, in the fifth and deciding game of the division series, Beltran started the pivotal ninth inning rally against the Nats with a double and scored when Daniel Descalso hit a game-tying two-run single. That leadoff two-base hit in the ninth was the fifth time Beltran reached base in the game.
That brings us to this year. Fourth verse, same as the first (and second ... and third). In six games versus the Pirates and Dodgers, Beltran has reached base nine times and driven in nine runs, including all three runs in Friday's Game 1 victory over Los Angeles. He has also made excellent contact in this year's postseason, striking out just two times in 27 plate appearances.
To sum it all up, Beltran is batting .345 in 40 career postseason games. He has reached base an incredible 80 times in those 40 games and has 28 extra-base hits, including 16 home runs. His .750 slugging percentage is the third-highest mark in postseason history and his 1.199 career OPS ranks fifth. Only seven players have hit more postseason home runs than Beltran, but all seven (Manny Ramirez, Bernie Williams, Derek Jeter, Reggie Jackson, Mickey Mantle, Albert Pujols, Jim Thome) needed at least 267 postseason plate appearances to show off their prodigious power. Beltran has come to the plate a mere 178 times. And just think, Beltran has never gotten the opportunity to add to those tremendous postseason numbers in a World Series game. But that might change this season. And Beltran might have a lot to do with it.
There are very few sure things in life. One is death, as it will come for all of us eventually. Another is taxes, as even Jerry Koosman and Pete Rose couldn't evade the IRS. But if there can be only one other certainty in life, it has to be that Carlos Beltran will turn the postseason into a one-man wrecking crew. He's not perfect (who put that Crazy Glue on his bat before Wainwright's 0-2 curveball?), but he's as close to being perfect on the October stage as any player in baseball history.
Death. Taxes. Beltran. Is there anything more certain in life?
Friday, October 11, 2013
Joey's Soapbox: My 2013 Unbiased LCS Picks
How's everybody doing? This is Joey Beartran, your fearless and unbiased prognosticator and masticator. (I'm having a delicious piece of cake right now, but typing with my mouth full is not as rude as talking with my mouth full. After all, I wouldn't want to offend any of my readers.)
It's that time of year again - the League Championship Series is upon us! Thirty teams began the season hoping to play for a pennant. Four teams are left, including three teams I picked to lose in the division series. (Why did you have to make me look bad, Tampa, Pittsburgh and Oakland?)
The Rays, Bucs and A's do not have a long tradition of advancing in the playoffs. Tampa has won one division series in four attempts. Pittsburgh hasn't won a postseason series since 1979. And Oakland has been eliminated in the ALDS in six of their last seven playoff appearances. The four remaining teams, however, have quite a history of being successful.
The Dodgers and Cardinals rank No. 1 and No. 2 in the National League in terms of postseason appearances. Los Angeles (and Brooklyn before 1958) has made 27 trips to the playoffs, which includes 12 division titles, 18 pennants and six World Series championships. St. Louis has appeared in the postseason 26 times. The Cardinals have won 11 division titles, 18 pennants and have won it all 11 times.
Meanwhile, Detroit and Boston have both won 11 American League pennants. The Tigers have qualified for the postseason 15 times, winning three straight division titles (six overall). They have also won the World Series four times. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have won 11 American League pennants and seven Fall Classics. They have appeared in the playoffs 21 times and have won seven AL East titles.
For those of you who aren't mathematically inclined, that's 89 playoff appearances, 36 division titles, 58 pennants and 28 World Series championships between the four teams that are still standing. And by the time I'm done eating my Halloween candy corn, those numbers will be up to 60 pennants and 29 Fall Classic winners. As great as the Yankees have been over the last century, even they can't boast those numbers. (Sadly, neither can the Mets, but they will ... someday).
But enough with the baseball history lesson and me fawning for late October confectioneries. It's time for me to give you a lesson on how to properly pick LCS winners. Are you ready? Here we go!
National League Championship Series
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
A smart person would never go against the Cardinals in October. After all, St. Louis has been invited to ten of the last 14 postseasons, winning three pennants, two World Series and 13 playoff series. But I'm not a person. I'm a bear. And I'm going against the Cardinals this October.
The Dodgers have the modern version of Koufax and Drysdale in Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. The current Dodger dynamic duo combined to allow three earned runs in three starts against the Braves in the division series, with only 14 Atlanta hitters reaching base in 19 innings. Closer Kenley Jansen made a ninth inning appearance in each Dodger victory, retiring seven Braves hitters - all via the strikeout.
In the four games with Atlanta, the Dodgers batted .333 and had a .572 slugging percentage. Los Angeles collected ten doubles, a triple and seven home runs against a formidable Braves pitching staff. St. Louis has good pitching, but it's going to have a tough time keeping the Dodgers' bats under wraps.
Carlos Beltran has made four trips to the postseason in his career. Each of his first three playoff appearances has ended with a loss in the seventh game of the League Championship Series. Why mess with a good thing?
Prediction: Dodgers in 7.
American League Championship Series
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
The Tigers have replaced the Yankees as the most consistent winner in the American League. Detroit is making its third consecutive appearance in the ALCS - the first American League squad to accomplish the feat since the Yankees went to four straight from 1998 to 2001. But they struggled at times to hit Oakland's young and inexperienced pitching staff. Boston's staff has a little more experience.
Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz match up quite favorably with the Tigers' top two starters (Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander). But Verlander won't be available to pitch until Game 3 of the ALCS. By then, Boston's lineup might have battered the Tigers into submission.
How balanced is Boston's lineup? Consider this. Eight players reached double digits in home runs, while two others ended the season with nine homers. The two players who fell one homer short of reaching double digits combined to hit 73 doubles and 10 triples. They also scored 183 runs, drove in 137 and stole 69 bases. Those players were Dustin Pedroia and Jacoby Ellsbury. That's how good the Red Sox lineup is. The Tigers are going to have their hands full in this series.
Detroit finished second in the league in runs scored during the regular season, but they only managed to score 17 runs in the five games versus Oakland. Fortunately for them, the A's don't boast a Murderer's Row lineup. Seventeen runs against Boston in the ALCS will just not get it done.
Prediction: Red Sox in 5.
Saturday, October 5, 2013
Daniel Murphy Appreciation Day
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| This is where I tip my cap to Daniel Murphy. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) |
Before I begin, let me preface this by saying that if you're not a Daniel Murphy supporter, then in all likelihood you will not be a fan of this post. (And for the record, the title of this piece was suggested by my Gal For All Seasons, so I'm not alone in my appreciation for the Mets' second baseman.)
Look back at the great second baseman in Mets history. There's Edgardo Alfonzo and there's ... uh ... well ... there's not much else. Sure, there were some second basemen who had good years, like two-time All-Star and Rookie of the Year runner-up Ron Hunt, but he was mostly a singles hitters who made as much contact with the ball using his bat (.282 lifetime average as a Met) as he did with his body (41 HBP in four seasons in New York).
In addition to Hunt, the Mets have employed other fine second sackers such as Felix Millan (who made Ron Hunt look like an extra-base hit machine), Doug Flynn (ditto) and Wally Backman (double ditto). Ken Boswell had some pop, if you want to call a career-high nine home runs in 1972 "some pop".
There have also been a number of second basemen who were great before they came to the Mets, then underachieved in New York. Do the names Carlos Baerga, Roberto Alomar and Luis Castillo ring a bell?
Basically, after Alfonzo, the next-best second baseman in club annals might have been Jeff Kent, who had some solid years in Flushing when he wasn't thinking about being on his ranch in Texas. And Kent probably couldn't concentrate much on that ranch with all those boos from the Shea Faithful permeating the daydream sensors in his brain.
But that No. 2 spot behind Fonzie on the unofficial list of greatest second basemen in Mets history might have a new resident taking off the vacancy sign very soon. And that resident's name is Daniel Murphy.
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| Make room for Daniel Murphy at second base. |
Daniel Murphy had one of the greatest seasons ever recorded by a Mets second baseman in 2013. He finished the year with a .286 batting average, 38 doubles, 13 homers, 78 RBI, 92 runs scored and 23 stolen bases. Prior to Murphy, the only second basemen in franchise history to reach double digits in both home runs and RBI in the same season were Gregg Jefferies and Roberto Alomar. But neither player matched Murphy's totals in batting average, runs scored, runs batted in and stolen bases. In fact, the only two players in team history who had better numbers than Murphy in all six offensive categories (batting average, doubles, home runs, RBI, runs scored, stolen bases), regardless of their defensive position, were Howard Johnson in 1989 (.287 average, 41 doubles, 36 HR, 101 RBI, 104 runs scored, 41 SB) and David Wright in 2007 (.325 average, 42 doubles, 30 HR, 107 RBI, 113 runs scored, 34 SB).
Murphy's 2013 campaign saw him finish among the National League leaders in a number of offensive categories. Murphy was in the top ten in games played (161; 2nd in the NL), hits (188; 2nd), singles (133; 2nd), doubles (38; T-7th), total bases (273; 8th), runs scored (92; 8th) and stolen bases (23; T-7th). The only other player in the National League to finish in the top ten in all of those categories was MVP candidate Andrew McCutchen. (Oh, and did I mention that Murphy finished first in the league in stolen base percentage, as he was caught stealing only three times in 26 attempts? Andrew McCutchen, on the other hand, was caught stealing ten times, making him one of only nine players in the National League to reach double digits in that category.)
Offensively, there are few second basemen in the league who can match Daniel Murphy's overall production. However, there have been some questions posed about Murphy's ability to handle the defensive side of the position. It's true that Murphy had an unfavorable defensive WAR (-1.5) and made 16 errors at second base. But that doesn't mean he was a complete wash at the position.
Murphy finished second in the league in putouts to three-time Gold Glove winner Brandon Phillips. In addition, Murphy finished third in the NL in assists (behind Phillips and Neil Walker) and third in double plays turned (behind Walker and MVP candidate Matt Carpenter).
Now let's look at the 16 errors committed by Murphy, a total that was surpassed in the Senior Circuit only by Chase Utley, who made one more miscue. Murphy played 150 games at second base in 2013 (his other 11 games were at first base and pinch-hitter). The three second basemen who finished directly behind Murphy in errors committed were Dan Uggla, Marco Scutaro and Rickie Weeks, who made 14, 13 and 10 errors, respectively. But Uggla, Scutaro and Weeks all spent time on the disabled list, combining to miss 119 games this past season with each player missing at least 26 games. Had they all remained on the field, perhaps one or more of them could have committed more gaffes at second base than Murphy.
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| Doubles, stolen bases, death-defying leaps over catchers. Is there anything Daniel Murphy can't do? |
For his career, Daniel Murphy has been known as a doubles machine. He has the only 40-double campaign for a left-handed hitter in team history. Murphy is also one of only two Mets (David Wright is the other) with three or more seasons of 35+ doubles. And with 73 more doubles (about two average Daniel Murphy seasons), Murphy will pass Ed Kranepool to become the second-most prolific doubles hitter in franchise history. But Murphy is more than just a producer of two-base hits. He proved that (and then some) in 2013.
In my opinion, Daniel Murphy has not been appreciated enough by Mets fans. Just like Carlos Beltran (who continues to be remembered more for keeping the bat on his shoulders as a Lord Charles curveball danced on by than for the complete player that he was), Daniel Murphy will always have detractors who will complain that he doesn't take enough walks or that he's a horrible defensive player.
To those detractors, I have one thing to say. Be careful what you wish for. Many players have been run out of town only to come back and haunt the Mets. Don't let Daniel Murphy become another one of those players. Take time to appreciate what Daniel Murphy has done for the team and what he hopefully will continue to do for the team as its second baseman. The Mets have not had many productive second basemen like Daniel Murphy in their 52-year history.
Not everyone can be Edgardo Alfonzo at second base. It's a good thing Daniel Murphy doesn't try to be.
Friday, October 4, 2013
A Year With No Harvey Days May Be A Good Thing
The 2013 season just ended for the Mets and their fans. But the 2014 campaign has already come to a close for Matt Harvey before it even began. The Mets' All-Star right-hander has decided to undergo Tommy John surgery, which will be performed later this month by Dr. James Andrews.
Anytime a team loses its ace in the rotation, it's a tough blow to take. But Harvey's absence might not be a bad thing for the Mets. Allow me to explain.
Clearly, the Mets are going to need to acquire a starting pitcher to replace Harvey in the rotation, preferably an innings-eater. Since Harvey is expected to be back in 2015, plus with the eventual call-up of Noah Syndergaard, Rafael Montero, or both (assuming they're both not traded), the Mets only need to sign a starting pitcher to a team-friendly one-year deal. If the Mets are out of the playoff race by the trade deadline, that veteran starter suddenly becomes trade bait. In 2013, Marlon Byrd (playing with the Mets on a one-year contract) and John Buck (in the last year of his three-year deal) parlayed fine seasons into an August deal with the playoff-bound Pirates. That got the Mets a solid relief pitcher in Vic Black and a good infield prospect in Dilson Herrera. The same thing can happen in 2014, but this time with a starting pitcher being traded instead of a right fielder and a catcher.
But what if the Mets actually compete for a playoff spot in 2014? Well, then they just keep the starting pitcher to complement the younger, less experienced pitchers in the rotation. Look at what the more experienced Bob Ojeda did to the younger Dwight Gooden, Ron Darling and Sid Fernandez when he became a Met in 1986. And don't forget the contributions by the late Don Cardwell as a member of the staff in 1969.
Without question, Matt Harvey will certainly be missed next year. But his absence is not the end of the world, nor does it signify the end of the 2014 season six months before it has even begun.
The Mets will begin the season with Jonathon Niese, Dillon Gee and Zack Wheeler in the starting rotation. The fourth starter's position can be filled by a veteran on a one-year deal (Dice-K Part Deux, maybe? The Harang-atan? Bronson Arroyo and his sweatshirt?), while the fifth starter can be either Carlos Torres or Jenrry Mejia (remember him?). If the fourth and fifth starters perform reasonably well - great! They'll immediately become attractive to other teams. If they aren't dependable, Syndergaard and Montero will be more than happy to replace them by June.
Best case scenario - the Mets remain strong in the starting rotation and can trade some of their excess pitching for more pieces that will eventually make the team more complete in all facets of the game.
Worst case scenario - the fourth and fifth starters remind us of Shaun Marcum and Aaron Laffey and are quickly replaced by Syndergaard and/or Montero, who gain valuable experience before Harvey returns in 2015.
There will be no Harvey Days in 2014. But that doesn't mean Mets fans will be left without happy days next season. The rest of the starting rotation will make sure of that.
Thursday, October 3, 2013
Joey's Soapbox: My 2013 Unbiased Division Series Picks
What's going on? Have you been enjoying the baseball playoffs yet? In case you don't know who I am, I'm Joey Beartran, your fav'rit Studious Metsimus prognosticator. And if I'm not your fav'rit, I should be. After all, who correctly predicted that Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay would win their respective wild card games, huh? Me, that's who!
So let's not waste any more time on idle chitchat and dive right into my picks for the four division series. Will I be right on all four? Does a bear poop in the woods? (Actually, I poop in the bathroom of a Citi Field luxury suite, as you can see here.) Here are my unbiased division series picks!
National League Division Series
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
How great was it to see the Pirates win the wild card game in front of a packed house at PNC Park? And how sweet was it to have former Met Marlon Byrd get the action started with a home run? Word indeed!
Every few years, we see a team of destiny. The 1969 season had the Miracle Mets. Thirty-five years later, the Red Sox said goodbye to the Curse of the Bambino. And who can forget the Rockies and Rays making unlikely runs to the World Series in back-to-back seasons just a few years ago?
Yes, St. Louis has far more playoff experience. And yes, they also have home field advantage in the series. But despite St. Louis going 46-30 against the NL Central, Pittsburgh won the season series, 10-9, giving the Cardinals one-third of their losses within the division. The Pirates took one more game than St. Louis did in their head-to-head matchups during the regular season. They'll do the same in the postseason.
Prediction: Pirates in 5.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
After winning 14 consecutive division titles in the '90s and '00s, the Atlanta Braves did not win another division crown until this year, eight years after their last one. But the Braves won the NL East despite having two everyday players (Dan Uggla, B.J. Upton) fail to hit .200 for the season. They also had very little speed on the team, as only two players (Upton, Jordan Schafer) stole more than eight bases. And how about their hefty strikeout total, as five players struck out 116 or more times, contributing to their league-leading total of 1,384 whiffs.
Basically, a case can be made that Atlanta won the division because of their 13-2 start and their 14-game winning streak shortly after the All-Star Break. They went 69-64 in all other games. But they also won because they hit a lot of home runs (a league-leading 181 HR) and had an unreal bullpen (Craig Kimbrel, David Carpenter and Luis Avilan combined to go 13-4 with 50 saves, a 1.50 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP).
But the Dodgers have a few good pitchers of their own in Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke, who will add a few more strikeouts to the Braves' already-embarrassing totals. And Los Angeles can also hit. A lot. Even without Matt Kemp and a fully healthy Andre Ethier, the Dodgers still have a multidimensional lineup with speed (Carl Crawford, Hanley Ramirez, Yasiel Puig) and power (Ramirez, Puig, Adrian Gonzalez).
The Braves are too one-dimensional with their offense to expect to beat the Dodgers. If they can't hit the ball out of the park, they can't score. And if they can't score, their vaunted bullpen can't protect any leads. Los Angeles should have no problem handling Atlanta.
Prediction: Dodgers in 4.
American League Division Series
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Can both teams win this series? Absolutely. And I wish both teams could. But since only one can, it will come down to which team has destiny on its side (see Pirates, Pittsburgh).
Boston had the best record in the American League. They also defeated Tampa in 12 of their 19 regular season meetings. But most of that came during the first half of the season, when Tampa was struggling to stay above .500 (Boston won nine of 12 meetings prior to the All-Star Break).
Tampa Bay is red hot right now. Including the wild card tiebreaker game against Texas and the wild card game versus Cleveland, the Rays have won 15 of their last 20 games. Meanwhile, Boston took it easy over the season's final three weeks, going 10-8 after September 7.
Take out Clay Buchholz (12-1, 1.74 ERA) and the rest of Boston's starting rotation is just slightly better than mediocre (48-37, 4.01 ERA). And Buchholz is only slated to start one game of the ALDS, as manager John Farrell is going to use Jon Lester and John Lackey in the first two games.Meanwhile, Tampa has three aces in their starting rotation in Matt Moore (17-4, 3.29 ERA), David Price (10-8, 3.33 ERA) and Alex Cobb (11-3, 2.76 ERA and a scoreless outing against the Cleveland Indians in the wild card game. Pitching wins championships. But before you win a championship, you have to win a division series, and Tampa Bay will ride their starting pitchers into the ALCS.
Prediction: Rays in 4.
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland A's
Last year, the Tigers won a hard-fought division series against the A's, going the distance before defeating Oakland in Game 5. This year, they'll have to put up a bigger fight if they want to return to the ALCS and World Series. But how much fight does a wounded team have?
Detroit's big bopper, Miguel Cabrera, has been battling aches and pains over the last month. And Justin Verlander, although seemingly healthy, has not looked like himself this year, going 13-12 with a 3.46 ERA. As a result of Cabrera's maladies and Verlander's inconsistencies, the Tigers went 16-16 over their final 32 games, barely holding off the Indians in the AL Central race.
The A's have power (seven players hit 12+ homers) and are willing to wait for their pitch, even if it means taking a walk (ten players walked 36 or more times). They also have a great bullpen, as the four-headed monster of Grant Balfour, Sean Doolittle, Ryan Cook and Jerry Blevins combined to post 17 wins, 42 saves and a 2.85 ERA, while holding opposing batters to a .219 batting average. That's something the Detroit Tigers just don't have. It cost them last year and it will cost them this year.
Prediction: A's in 5.
Tuesday, October 1, 2013
Joey's Soapbox: My 2013 Unbiased Wild Card Game Picks
Greetings and salutations, everyone! I’m Joey Beartran and I’m ready to give you my unbiased picks for the upcoming wild card round of the baseball playoffs. In the past, my picks have occasionally been biased because I would never pick the Yankees or the Phillies to advance to the next round. But this October, the Yankees and Phillies are only fighting for who gets the first tee time on the golf course.
Do you know how long it’s been since the Yankees and Phillies both missed out on October baseball? Well, this is only the second time since the Yankees started sending out invitations to their annual postseason party in 1995 that they forgot to invite themselves. The only other time in that nearly two-decade period that they failed to make the playoffs was in 2008, when the Phillies won the World Series. Now if you recall, because of the players’ strike, the World Series was canceled in 1994, but the year before the strike, the Phillies won the National League pennant. They didn’t win the World Series in 1993 because Mitch Williams served up a fat pitch that made Joe Carter’s eyes get as big as Cole Hamels’ ego.
You have to go back to 1992 to find the last postseason that didn’t have the Yankees or Phillies in it to torment Mets fans, making them root for whoever was matched up against them. And 1992 was also the last time the Pittsburgh Pirates received a playoff invite until this year. Hmmm. Maybe all we have to do is make sure the Pirates make it to the playoffs every year and then we won’t have to worry about seeing the only two teams whose players make Scott Atchison look like a young whippersnapper.
On that Geritol-sponsored note, let’s get to my picks for the National and American League wild card games, where we can talk some more about the Pittsburgh Pirates.
National League Wild Card Game
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
Last week at this time, this wild card game had a chance to be played at Great American Ballpark in the Queen City. But then the Mets socked it to the Reds once again, just as they did in the 1973 NLCS and the 1999 wild card play-in game. The Mets took two out of three from the Reds in Cincinnati, starting a season-ending five-game losing streak for Bronson Arroyo, Aroldis Chapman and the rest of the Shama-Lama-Ding-Dong crew. That, combined with the Pirates’ three-game sweep of the Reds to close out the season, moved this do-or-die game to the Steel City. Clearly, the hotter of the two teams is Pittsburgh. However, as the old saying goes, you’re only as hot as that day’s starting pitcher, and Cincinnati’s starter is Johnny Cueto.
Because of injuries, Cueto only made 11 starts this year, but with a 5-2 mark and a 2.82 ERA, the Reds are confident he’s the man to lead them to the NLDS. Pittsburgh, for all the success they’ve had this year, have rarely done well against Cueto over the years. The Pirates have faced him 21 times and have only pinned four losses on him. They’ve also had a difficult time scoring against the right-hander, as evidenced by Cueto’s 2.37 lifetime ERA against the Bucs.
Of course, Pittsburgh is sending their ace, Francisco Liriano (16-8, 3.02 ERA) to the mound, giving them their best chance to advance in the postseason for the first time since 1979. But you don’t have to remind Liriano that three of his eight losses came at the hands of the Reds. I’m sure he's already quite aware of that.
That being said, PNC Park will be rocking on Tuesday, hosting its first ever playoff game. In a city known for the more successful Steelers and Penguins, the Pirates are finding their way back into the hearts of Pittsburgh sports fans. And with two members of the Mets’ 2013 Opening Day roster now toiling for the Buccos (Marlon Byrd, John Buck), they have an extra rooter in myself. The Pirates won’t let their success-starved fan base down.
Prediction: Pittsburgh will advance to the NLDS.
American League Wild Card Game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians
Earlier today, I was listening to the radio and heard ESPN’s Mike Lupica mention that over the last six years, the Tampa Bay Rays have spent as much money on their entire roster as the Yankees spent on Alex Rodriguez. Tampa has now made the playoffs four times in the last six years, while the Yankees have also made the playoffs four times in six years. Clearly, the Rays are a team that knows how to get the most of their players.
Unlike Tampa, Cleveland was willing to spend money this past offseason, signing outfielders Michael Bourn and Nick Swisher to free agent contracts. Both Bourn and Swisher had typical seasons (which for Swisher means 20 or more homers, lots of walks, even more strikeouts and the ire of opposing fans who pray on a nightly basis that he’s stricken with a severe case of laryngitis). But one of the big finds for the Indians was former Mets’ first round draft pick, Scott Kazmir. The Mets saw firsthand how dominant Kazmir can be when he had a 12-strikeout, no-walk performance against New York on September 6. But Kazmir won’t be starting the wild card game for Cleveland. Neither will ace Ubaldo Jimenez, who won 13 games for the Tribe. Rather, it will be rookie non-sensation Danny Salazar. Salazar will facing Alex Cobb, who was brilliant for the Rays in 2013, going 11-3 with a 2.76 ERA.
Basically, this matchup is the equivalent of Al Leiter facing Steve Parris in 1999 for the right to advance to the National League Division Series. And we all know who get the better of who in that game.
It doesn’t matter that Tampa has to travel to Cleveland to play this
game. They traveled to Texas on Monday to play one game against a team
they historically couldn’t beat after Game No. 162. That history is now
… uh … history. Tampa
has the right pitcher on the hill for this game while Cleveland does
not. Fans of “Bro-hio” will be singing “Bro-hi-NOOOOO!!” after this
game is over.Prediction: Tampa Bay will advance to the ALDS.
Saturday, September 28, 2013
If The Mets Win Sunday, Jonathon Niese Is A Goner
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| The shirt might be coming off Jonathon Niese's back if he wins on Sunday. |
Did the title to this post get your attention? It should. Because recent history shows that winning a game at home on Closing Day usually leads to a starting pitcher's exit from New York. Please allow me to expound on that statement.
The Mets moved from Shea Stadium to Citi Field following the 2008 campaign. Since then, the Mets have won three of their first four Closing Day games at their new digs. Citi Field's first Closing Day in 2009 saw Nelson Figueroa take the hill against the Houston Astros. Figueroa pitched the only complete game shutout of his nine-year career on that final Sunday, holding the Astros to four hits in the Mets' 4-0 victory. Figueroa never pitched another game for the Mets, as he was selected off waivers by the Philadelphia Phillies in 2010.
After losing their next Closing Day game in 2010, the Mets ended the 2011 season with another complete game shutout. This time, it was Miguel Batista doing the honors, besting the Cincinnati Reds, 3-0. By the following July, Batista had been released by the Mets.
Finally, in 2012, R.A. Dickey started for the Mets in their final home game at Citi Field. Dickey made 13 Pirates walk the plank back to the dugout, striking out a baker's dozen to earn his 20th victory of the season in the Mets' 6-5 win over Pittsburgh. Dickey made one more start for the Mets in Miami (a no-decision) before being traded during the offseason to the Toronto Blue Jays.
That brings to Sunday's Closing Day game against the Milwaukee Brewers - a game in which Jonathon Niese is scheduled to start. The Mets have never won a Closing Day at Citi Field and had its starting pitcher in that game make it through the following season as a Met. And in two of those three wins, that day's starter never threw another pitch for the Mets at Citi Field.
Sure, Jonathon Niese still has three years left on his current contract, but facts are facts. Mets pitchers who win on Closing Day at Citi Field don't stick around to enjoy their end-of-season victories. In fact, the last time the Mets won a Closing Day game at home and they kept that day's winning pitcher around was in 2004, when Tom Glavine defeated the Montreal Expos, 8-1 at Shea Stadium. Of course, Glavine remained with the Mets until 2007 but the Expos didn't stick around in Montreal, moving to their new home in Washington the following season.
If only Glavine's last game had come in 2004 rather than 2007...
It's Not The Same, But...
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| I promise you won't be seeing this scene at Citi Field today. |
Today at Citi Field, the Mets will not be scoreboard-watching. They also do not have champagne being chilled. And don't expect the Braves game to be on in the clubhouse. However, there is a chance the Mets can "clinch" something today.
Should the Mets win their 4 o'clock game today against the Brewers and the Braves defeat the Phillies in their 7 o'clock tilt tonight, the Mets would officially clinch third place in the NL East, which would be their highest finish in the division since 2008, when the team still received its mail at Shea Stadium.
Technically, the Mets could clinch third before the Phillies take the field in Atlanta, as the Mets won their season series against Philadelphia, taking 10 of 19 games from Cole Hamels and the Phunky Bunch. Therefore, finishing in a tie with Philly at season's end would essentially give the Mets third place anyway.
Of course, finishing in third place with a record that is still well below .500 isn't exactly a great accomplishment. However, think of the 1968, 1983 and 1995 Mets. The 1968 squad "improved" from last place to ninth place in the ten-team National League, then won the World Series a year later. Naturally, no one expects the Mets to win the World Series next year, but many people do think the Mets will improve in 2014, similar to what the 1984 team did following a lackluster 1983 campaign.
In 1983, the Mets won 68 games, which on the surface looks like a bad year. However, it was the most wins by the team during the seven-year Grant's Tomb era which began when the Mets traded away Tom Seaver in 1977. One year later, the Mets shocked the baseball world by improving to 90-72. The Mets were relevant again, and by 1986, they had won their second World Series championship.
But not too many teams win 22 more games from one year to the next as the Mets did in 1984. If the 2014 Mets improve by 22 wins, they'd have a good chance to finish with the best record in the league. Again, that might be too much to expect. And that's why I bring up the 1995 Mets.
In 1995, the Mets finished the strike-shortened season with a 69-75 record. Although it was a losing record, the team still managed to finish in second place, tied with the Philadelphia Phillies. It was the fifth consecutive sub-.500 season for the Mets, but it was also their highest finish in the standings in five years (similar to what the 2013 Mets are shooting for).
The following season, in 1996, the Mets struggled, going 71-91. But there were flashes that the team was about to turn the corner. And in 1997, that's exactly what they did.
The Mets farm development paid dividends in 1997, with Edgardo Alfonzo (.315, 10 HR, 72 RBI, 11 SB), Butch Huskey (.287, 24 HR, 81 RBI) and Bobby Jones (15-9, 3.63 ERA) posting breakthrough seasons. The team also made shrewd trades, acquiring John Olerud for Robert Person. Olerud solidified the infield and gave the team a proven bat. And don't forget the acquisition of Rick Reed following the 1995 campaign. The Mets gave him a shot in the starting rotation in 1997 and he became the team's ace (13-9, 2.89 ERA, 1.04 WHIP).
The Mets finished in a lofty position in the division despite a losing record in 1995, then slowly but surely added more pieces to a young team that already had a good nucleus. That's kind of like what the 2013 Mets are doing. This year's squad has been about building a nucleus and this year's offseason is about patching up the holes with quality players who will help the team continue its ascent to relevancy and competitiveness. It may take a few years for the Mets to be a perennial contender, but the pieces are there for it to happen. They just have to be put together properly by Sandy Alderson and his Merry Men.
Despite a losing record, the 1995 Mets finished in their loftiest division position in five years. The 2013 Mets are trying to repeat that feat. It's not the same as clinching a division title, but I'd sure love the Mets to finish ahead of the Phillies for third place in the NL East this year. History shows that that type of finish leads to better days in the near future.
Wednesday, September 25, 2013
What Do Michael Wacha and Tom Seaver Have In Common?
On Tuesday night, Michael Wacha of the St. Louis Cardinals was one out away from baseball immortality. He had retired twenty-six Washington Nationals without allowing a hit. All he had to do was find a way to get Ryan Zimmerman out and he would have completed his first no-hitter in just his ninth major league start.
But Zimmerman had other ideas. The Nats' third baseman chopped a ball that grazed off the top of Wacha's glove and rolled in the direction of shortstop Pete Kozma. Kozma's throw pulled first baseman Matt Adams off the bag, who could not apply the tag to a hustling Zimmerman.
The no-hitter was not to be for Wacha, as he fell one out short of immortality on September 24. That date should bring back memories of a similar circumstance that happened to Tom Seaver in 1975.
Thirty-eight years ago, also on September 24, Tom Seaver took the mound against the Chicago Cubs. Seaver had already taken two no-hitters into the ninth inning in his career. But both of those gems were broken up with one out in the ninth.
On July 9, 1969, Chicago's Jimmy Qualls looped a clean single to left after Seaver had retired the first twenty-five Cubs to face him. Seaver retired the next two batters, then stood on the mound with his hands at his waist wondering what might have been in the Mets' 4-0 victory.
Three years later, Seaver was once again two outs away from pitching the Mets' first no-hitter (although this one was not a perfect game, as Seaver walked four hitters) when he faced the San Diego Padres on July 4, 1972. But Leron Lee channeled his inner Jimmy Qualls and lined a single to center to break up the no-no. Seaver then induced the next batter, Nate Colbert, to ground into a game-ending 6-4-3 double play, giving the Mets a 2-0 win over the Padres.
After two near-misses in 1969 and 1972, Seaver took another no-hitter into the ninth inning on September 24, 1975 when he matched up against the Chicago Cubs. But this time he was able to retire the batter he faced with one out in the ninth, striking out the Cubs' Rick Monday. Needing one out to pitch nine hitless innings, Seaver allowed a two-out single to rightfielder Joe Wallis to break up the no-hitter. However, even if Seaver had retired Wallis, he would not have been able to celebrate a no-hitter at that moment because the game would not have ended there. Neither team had scored through the first eight innings and the scoreless duel continued into extra innings. The Mets eventally lost the game, 1-0, when closer Skip Lockwood walked Bill Madlock to force in a run in the 11th inning.
Since 1975, when Seaver lost his no-hitter with two outs in the ninth, no Met had even taken a no-hitter into the ninth until Johan Santana did so on June 1, 2012. But Santana finished what Seaver couldn't, striking out David Freese of the St. Louis Cardinals to complete the first no-hitter in franchise history.
Michael Wacha, now Freese's teammate in St. Louis, came within one out of throwing his first career no-hitter on September 24, 2013. Tom Seaver, on September 24, 1975, also missed his first career no-hitter by one out, becoming the only Met to have a hitless game broken up with two outs in the ninth inning.
What do Michael Wacha and Tom Seaver have in common? They both share a September 24 heartbreak. Wacha hopes that's not the only thing he can share with Seaver before his career is over.
But Zimmerman had other ideas. The Nats' third baseman chopped a ball that grazed off the top of Wacha's glove and rolled in the direction of shortstop Pete Kozma. Kozma's throw pulled first baseman Matt Adams off the bag, who could not apply the tag to a hustling Zimmerman.
The no-hitter was not to be for Wacha, as he fell one out short of immortality on September 24. That date should bring back memories of a similar circumstance that happened to Tom Seaver in 1975.
Thirty-eight years ago, also on September 24, Tom Seaver took the mound against the Chicago Cubs. Seaver had already taken two no-hitters into the ninth inning in his career. But both of those gems were broken up with one out in the ninth.
On July 9, 1969, Chicago's Jimmy Qualls looped a clean single to left after Seaver had retired the first twenty-five Cubs to face him. Seaver retired the next two batters, then stood on the mound with his hands at his waist wondering what might have been in the Mets' 4-0 victory.
Three years later, Seaver was once again two outs away from pitching the Mets' first no-hitter (although this one was not a perfect game, as Seaver walked four hitters) when he faced the San Diego Padres on July 4, 1972. But Leron Lee channeled his inner Jimmy Qualls and lined a single to center to break up the no-no. Seaver then induced the next batter, Nate Colbert, to ground into a game-ending 6-4-3 double play, giving the Mets a 2-0 win over the Padres.
After two near-misses in 1969 and 1972, Seaver took another no-hitter into the ninth inning on September 24, 1975 when he matched up against the Chicago Cubs. But this time he was able to retire the batter he faced with one out in the ninth, striking out the Cubs' Rick Monday. Needing one out to pitch nine hitless innings, Seaver allowed a two-out single to rightfielder Joe Wallis to break up the no-hitter. However, even if Seaver had retired Wallis, he would not have been able to celebrate a no-hitter at that moment because the game would not have ended there. Neither team had scored through the first eight innings and the scoreless duel continued into extra innings. The Mets eventally lost the game, 1-0, when closer Skip Lockwood walked Bill Madlock to force in a run in the 11th inning.
Since 1975, when Seaver lost his no-hitter with two outs in the ninth, no Met had even taken a no-hitter into the ninth until Johan Santana did so on June 1, 2012. But Santana finished what Seaver couldn't, striking out David Freese of the St. Louis Cardinals to complete the first no-hitter in franchise history.
Michael Wacha, now Freese's teammate in St. Louis, came within one out of throwing his first career no-hitter on September 24, 2013. Tom Seaver, on September 24, 1975, also missed his first career no-hitter by one out, becoming the only Met to have a hitless game broken up with two outs in the ninth inning.
What do Michael Wacha and Tom Seaver have in common? They both share a September 24 heartbreak. Wacha hopes that's not the only thing he can share with Seaver before his career is over.
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
With Pittsburgh In, Who Has The Longest Playoff Drought?
After two decades of futility, the Pittsburgh Pirates have qualified for the postseason for the first time since Barry Bonds' cap was three sizes smaller. (That's 1992 for all you kids out there.) In clinching a playoff berth, the Pirates have become the last National League team to qualify for the postseason in the 21st century. So now that Pittsburgh has ended its drought, which National League squad has gone the longest without appearing in the playoffs?
Well, the Braves, Cardinals, Reds and Dodgers are all joining the Pirates this year. The Giants and Nationals were playing in October last year. And in 2011, the Diamondbacks, Brewers and Phillies were competing for the pennant. That's ten of the fifteen teams in the N.L. qualifying for the playoffs in the last three seasons alone. So who's left?
The Rockies made the playoffs in 2009 and the Cubs last qualified in 2008. Both the Mets and Padres won their respective divisions in 2006. That's 14 teams. Which team has the longest playoff drought in the Senior Circuit?
The Florida (now Miami) Marlins.
The Marlins won the World Series in 2003, defeating the Yankees in six games. They haven't been invited to the postseason party since. So in the last decade, every National League team has made the playoffs. But there are two American League teams who haven't sprayed champagne since the 20th century.
The Toronto Blue Jays won their second consecutive World Series championship in 1993, defeating the Atlanta Braves in six games. Twenty years later, they're still waiting for their next postseason appearance. The only team with a longer playoff drought than the Blue Jays should never have won a World Series.
In 1985, the year before the Mets won their last title, Kansas City met intrastate rival St. Louis in the I-70 World Series (named because of Interstate 70, which connects the two cities). The Royals won their lone World Series championship with the aid of first base umpire Don Denkinger's blown call in the ninth inning of the sixth game. Kansas City won the title the next night. Nearly three decades later, the Royals have not yet returned to the postseason.
It seems like an eternity since the Mets last qualified for the playoffs. For many Mets fans, seven years does seem like forever. But be thankful you're not a Marlins fan. Or even worse, think about those Blue Jays and Royals fans out there. It's only been ten years since the Marlins and their dozen fans celebrated a postseason appearance. Fans in Toronto and Kansas City have been saying "wait 'till next century" for just a little bit longer.
Sunday, September 22, 2013
Exit Sandman - Studious Metsimus-Style
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| Screen shot courtesy of TBS Sports |
Today at Yankee Stadium, Mariano Rivera's career was celebrated by the only team he's ever known. The celebration included all the pomp and circumstance you'd expect for a player of Rivera's caliber, including a live performance by Metallica, whose "Enter Sandman" let opposing hitters know that Mariano was about to send them off to Never-Never Land.
As you all know, Rivera is the greatest closer in the history of the game. His 652 regular season saves and 42 postseason saves are the most in major league history. He also has a 2.21 ERA prior to October baseball and a 0.70 ERA during it. Only 12 pitchers with 1,000 or more innings pitched have a lower regular season ERA than Rivera and no one has a lower postseason ERA.
To put Rivera's records in perspective, John Franco (276 saves) and Armando Benitez (160 saves) have the two highest career save totals as Mets. The rest of the top ten (Jesse Orosco, Billy Wagner, Tug McGraw, Roger McDowell, Francisco Rodriguez, Neil Allen, Skip Lockwood, Braden Looper) have a combined 652 saves as Mets - the same number of saves Mariano Rivera had on his own as a Yankee.
Mariano has also registered nine seasons of 40 or more saves. The Mets have had three - ever. Furthermore, no Met has recorded more than 43 saves in a single season (Benitez saved 43 games in 2001). Rivera has surpassed that number in six seasons, including this year at the age of 43.
But Rivera hasn't been infallible, especially against the Mets.
In 34 appearances against the Mets, Mariano Rivera has a 3.53 ERA, his highest against any National League team. The only team in the majors against whom Rivera has a higher ERA is the Los Angeles Angels (3.75 ERA). Since 2007, Rivera has allowed more earned runs against the Mets (7) than he has saves (4). His ERA against the Mets since 2007 is 6.10. And let's not forget his blown save and loss to the Mets this past May, which remains the only time Rivera has blown a save in his career without recording a single out.
The Mets have also defeated Rivera four times over his storied career. Meanwhile, the rest of the National League has pinned just five losses on No. 42. The only teams to beat Rivera more times than the Mets are the Orioles (9 times), Red Sox (7 times) and Rays (6 times) - all of whom play in the same division as the Yankees. But Baltimore has faced Rivera 134 times, while Boston has seen him in 115 games and Tampa Bay has squared off against him 102 times. That's far more than the 34 times the Mets have faced the Sandman.
Mariano Rivera has had his troubles against the Mets, but most of the time he's come through with the save. Even with their success against him over the years, there's no question the Mets will not miss Rivera when the ninth inning comes around in future Subway Series matchups. After all, they and mostly everyone else in baseball have been shipped off to Never-Never Land far too many times.
Where There's A Wil, There's A Way
Earlier today, when the Mets released the starting lineup for their series finale against the Phillies, I posted this tweet on Twitter, in the hopes that Wilfredo Tovar (who was making his major league debut) and Wilmer Flores (who was starting in place of the red-hot David Wright at third base) would have great games against the Phils. Little did I know how much they'd contribute.
Tovar went 2-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base, delivering the seventh-inning single that gave the Mets the lead. Meanwhile, Flores contributed a key double in the fourth inning that helped lead to the Mets' first run of the game, after Phillies' starter Cliff Lee had retired the first nine batters in order.
The Mets defeated the Phillies, 4-3, to sweep the weekend series at Citizens Bank Park. The one-run victory moved the Mets into a third-place tie with Philadelphia and gave New York the season series as well. (The Mets won 10 of 19 games from the Phillies this year.)
There's always a way to win when the team wills itself to get it done. Today there were two Wils in the Mets' starting lineup and they both found a way to lead the Mets to a satisfying victory.
I'm hoping Wilmer Flores and Wilfredo Tovar lead the #Mets to victory so I can use "Where There's a Wil, There's a Way" as my recap title.
— Ed Leyro (@Studi_Metsimus) September 22, 2013
Tovar went 2-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base, delivering the seventh-inning single that gave the Mets the lead. Meanwhile, Flores contributed a key double in the fourth inning that helped lead to the Mets' first run of the game, after Phillies' starter Cliff Lee had retired the first nine batters in order.
The Mets defeated the Phillies, 4-3, to sweep the weekend series at Citizens Bank Park. The one-run victory moved the Mets into a third-place tie with Philadelphia and gave New York the season series as well. (The Mets won 10 of 19 games from the Phillies this year.)
There's always a way to win when the team wills itself to get it done. Today there were two Wils in the Mets' starting lineup and they both found a way to lead the Mets to a satisfying victory.
Saturday, September 21, 2013
Dillon Gee Pitches His Way Into Exclusive Company
| Photo by Ed Leyro/Studious Metsimus |
Prior to his start on May 30 against the Yankees, Dillon Gee was on the verge of losing his place in the starting rotation. The Texas native was 2-6 with a 6.34 ERA and was hearing Zack Wheeler's footsteps as the über-prospect was just weeks away from being called up for his first taste of big league action.
But everything changed for Gee with that late-May start at Yankee Stadium. Gee pitched into the eighth inning, allowing one run on four hits. He also set a career high by striking out 12 batters without issuing a walk.
After allowing four runs or more in six of his first ten starts, Gee has allowed two runs or less in 14 of his last 21 starts. His 2-6 record is now just a bad memory, as Gee is leading the team with 12 victories. Since Matt Harvey's season ended with nine wins and no other pitcher on the Mets has more than seven, it's safe to assume that Gee will remain the team leader in pitching victories. Therefore, the 2013 campaign will mark the second time in three seasons that Gee has led the team in wins, after finishing first on the Mets with 13 victories in 2011.
In doing so, Gee will become only the 14th pitcher in team history to lead the team or finish tied for the team lead in pitching victories multiple times. The chart below lists the 14 pitchers who have accomplished this feat.
Pitcher
|
# of Times as Wins
Leader
|
Years as Team Wins
Leader
|
Tom Seaver
|
7
|
1967, 1969-73, 1975
|
Al Leiter
|
5
|
1998-2002
|
Dwight Gooden
|
4
|
1984-85, 1987, 1993
|
Steve Trachsel
|
4
|
2001, 2003-04, 2006
|
Al Jackson
|
3
|
1963-65
|
Jerry Koosman
|
3
|
1968, 1974, 1976
|
David Cone
|
3
|
1988-89, 1991
|
Jack Fisher
|
2
|
1965-66
|
Nino Espinosa
|
2
|
1977-78
|
Craig Swan
|
2
|
1979, 1982
|
Sid Fernandez
|
2
|
1989, 1992
|
Bobby Jones
|
2
|
1995, 1997
|
Johan Santana
|
2
|
2008-09
|
Dillon Gee
|
2
|
2011, 2013
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With 33 major league victories under his belt, Dillon Gee has the second-fewest wins of the 14 pitchers who led the team in wins in at least two seasons. (Nino Espinosa had 25 wins as a Met.) But there are 30 pitchers in Mets history with more wins than Gee and most of them never led the team in wins more than once. In fact, two of the top ten winners in franchise history never became two-time team leaders in wins.
Ron Darling had 99 wins as a Met - 4th all-time - but only led the team in wins once. And when he did so (1989), he shared the team lead with David Cone and Sid Fernandez. Similarly, Jon Matlack recorded 82 victories for the Mets - 7th all-time - but never led the team in wins. (He can thank Seaver and Koosman for that.)
Tom Seaver. Jerry Koosman. Dwight Gooden. Sid Fernandez. David Cone. Johan Santana. Those are some of the best pitchers who have ever taken the mound for the Mets over their 50-plus years of existence. In addition to being six of the finest pitchers to wear the orange and blue, they also have another thing in common. All six have led or tied for the team lead in wins multiple times. Their exclusive club now has a new member, and his name is Dillon Gee.
Dillon Gee has come a long way to become a top starter for the Mets. He was overlooked in the first twenty rounds of the 2007 amateur draft before the Mets selected him in Round 21. After pitching well in the lower levels of the minor leagues, Gee had an ERA near 5.00 at AAA-Buffalo. But he never gave up hope. And now he's accomplished something that Seaver, Koosman, Gooden, Fernandez, Cone, Santana and a small group of others have done. Not bad for a pitcher who almost lost his spot in the rotation just four months ago.
Labels:
2013 Mets,
Al Jackson,
Al Leiter,
Bobby Jones,
Craig Swan,
David Cone,
Dillon Gee,
Doctor K,
Jack Fisher,
Jerry Koosman,
Johan Santana,
Nino Espinosa,
Sid Fernandez,
Steve Trachsel,
Tom Seaver
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